90-year-old theory explains XRP crash: What happens next?

cryptonews.net 02/03/2025 - 20:22 PM

XRP Faces Severe Market Reversal

XRP has suffered a harsh reversal, erasing many gains from Q4 of last year. The cryptocurrency has entered a strong bear market, declining over 30% from its peak this year.

Ripple Network Developments

Despite this, the Ripple network is experiencing bullish catalysts. The Ripple USD (RLUSD) stablecoin is gaining market share, with daily volumes exceeding $100 million. Other players in the XRP Ledger, such as Coreum and Sologenic, are also seeing increased traction.

There is a rising likelihood that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will conclude its appeal against Ripple Labs, having already dropped charges against firms like Uniswap, Coinbase, and Gemini.

Additionally, XRP transactions are on the rise; nearly 1 million transactions were recorded on March 1, according to XRPScan. This trend may continue in upcoming months.

Further, signs indicate that the SEC might approve a spot XRP ETF this year, potentially attracting over $8 billion in new inflows, as estimated by JPMorgan analysts.

Analyzing the Price Drop: Wyckoff Theory

![XRP price chart](source: crypto.news)

XRP has entered a bear market largely due to the crypto fear and greed index dipping to an extreme fear zone of 18. This situation has led many investors to remain on the sidelines, which also explains the broader cryptocurrency crash.

The Wyckoff Theory, which Richard Wyckoff developed 90 years ago, provides insights into the recent sell-off. The theory outlines four key phases of asset price movement: accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown. XRP remained in the accumulation phase for over three years before entering a markup phase that began post the 2020 U.S. presidential election when regulatory optimism surged.

After reaching its highest level this year, XRP transitioned to a distribution phase marked by indecision. This phase has formed a head and shoulders pattern, with a critical neckline at $2. If XRP falls below this neckline, it risks entering a markdown phase and may drop to the 78.6% retracement level of $1.1395.

Read more: Tezos price prediction: Will XTZ price recover from its dip?




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    Greed and Fear Index

    Note: The data is for reference only.

    index illustration

    Greed

    63