Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Weak Recovery Signals Hint at Further Downside

cryptonews.net 30/12/2024 - 23:09 PM

Bitcoin Price Update

Bitcoin, currently dancing between $91,721 and $92,105 over the last hour, has dipped by 2.7% in the past 24 hours. Its market cap stands tall at $1.81 trillion, with a trading volume of $45.45 billion and an intraday price swing from $91,315 to $94,562.

Overview

Bitcoin’s 1-hour chart indicates a modest recovery from earlier dips, yet it struggles to break through resistance around $93,000. Indicators like the relative strength index (RSI) at 40 and the Stochastic at 10 suggest indecision in the market. The MACD at -613 shows that sellers still dominate.

1-Hour Chart Analysis

BTC/USD 1H Chart

4-Hour Chart Analysis

Zooming out to the 4-hour chart, a more pronounced downward trend appears, highlighted by bearish signals like the commodity channel index (CCI) at -127 and momentum at -5,766. The price nears significant resistance at $94,000, with shorter period EMA at $95,516 and SMA at $95,557, indicating persistent selling pressure.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

Daily Chart Overview

On the daily chart, the bearish trend is stark, having declined from recent peaks near $108,000. Long-term indicators like EMA (100) at $85,297 and SMA (100) at $81,620 suggest potential buying support. However, with the awesome oscillator at -3,168 and average directional index (ADX) at 26, bullish momentum appears weak.

BTC/USD Daily Chart

Current support firmly holds at $91,000-$92,000, but if it fails, we might see a drop to $88,000. Resistance at $94,000-$95,000 creates a barrier for any bullish turnaround. The lack of significant volume increase or patterns like a double bottom hints at possible declines.

Bull Verdict

A sustained reclaim of $94,000 with strong volume and a bullish pattern, such as a double bottom or bullish engulfing candlestick, could signal a potential reversal. Long-term indicators like EMA (200) at $75,987 and SMA (200) at $71,384 indicate that deeper support levels could create a solid foundation for recovery.

Bear Verdict

The prevailing bearish momentum is confirmed by the MACD at -613 and momentum at -5,766. Selling pressure from shorter-term moving averages suggests that if $91,000-$92,000 fails to hold, a decline toward $88,000 or lower could occur. Without clear reversal signals, the bearish trend remains dominant.




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    Greed and Fear Index

    Note: The data is for reference only.

    index illustration

    Greed

    63