Fed's Bostic warns against keeping restrictive policy stance for too long

investing.com • 04/09/2024 - 14:03 PM

Atlanta Fed President Addresses Interest Rates

(Reuters) – The U.S. central bank must not keep interest rates too high much longer or it risks causing too much harm to employment, according to Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic’s recent comments.

Bostic emphasized, “We must not maintain a restrictive policy stance for too long,” in an essay published on the regional bank’s website.

He warned that waiting for inflation to fall back to the Fed’s 2% goal before reducing borrowing costs could lead to labor market disruptions, causing unnecessary pain and suffering.

Recent reports of price increases have strengthened Bostic’s confidence that inflation is moving toward the Fed’s objective, with widespread and rapidly diminishing pricing pressures.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that the central bank plans to lower its benchmark interest rate from the current 5.25%-5.50% range at its upcoming Sept 17-18 policy meeting. However, there is uncertainty over whether weakening labor market conditions call for a quarter-percentage-point cut or a larger, half-percentage-point reduction.

The Fed is aiming for a “soft landing” for the economy, where growth slows gradually, inflation aligns with the 2% target, and unemployment remains stable.

After experiencing higher-than-expected inflation earlier this year, annual price increases decreased to 2.5% in July, according to the Fed’s preferred measure.

Conversely, concerns have emerged regarding a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3% in July, its highest in nearly three years, marking the fourth consecutive month of increases as worries grow that high borrowing costs may be excessively stifling labor demand.

Bostic noted that while some business contact have reported a slowdown in hiring, only a few have indicated intentions of layoffs. He remarked, “I do not sense a looming crash or panic among business contacts. However, the data and our grassroots feedback describe an economy and labor market losing momentum.”

Furthermore, Bostic asserted that it is premature to declare victory over inflation, emphasizing the need for vigilance from him and his colleagues.




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