XRP Price Rally Potential

XRP might be looking at a massive price rally if spot XRP ETFs pull in even a slice of capital from Bitcoin ETF products.

Most recently, Bloomberg ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart updated the chances of an XRP ETF approval to 95%. This has ignited excitement about the potential impact on XRP’s price.

XRP Price if XRP ETFs Attract 35% of Bitcoin ETF Inflows

If XRP ETFs attract just 35% of the net flows that Bitcoin ETFs have garnered since January 2024, calculations suggest XRP price could approach nearly $30.

Bitcoin ETFs have seen $46.66 billion in net inflows since launch. If XRP captures 35% of that, it would result in about $16.331 billion in net flows, significantly impacting XRP prices.

Notably, price increases do not typically match capital inflows one-for-one; traders often rely on multipliers to gauge the effects on market cap. Historical multipliers have reached 674x.

For a conservative estimate, a more modest 100x multiplier gives clarity without exaggerating the situation. With $16.331 billion in ETF inflows, XRP’s value could rise by $1.633 trillion.

Currently, XRP has a market cap of $125.87 billion, trading at $2.13 with a circulating supply of 58.93 billion tokens. Adding $1.633 trillion to its market cap would elevate it to $1.759 trillion, projecting XRP’s price at approximately $29.89, nearly $30.

Updates Surrounding XRP ETFs

Recent developments make this scenario seem increasingly realistic, as expectations for XRP ETF approvals have surged. Seyffart and Balchunas indicated ongoing engagement from the U.S. SEC, believing approval is imminent.

Confidence among traders is reflected on prediction platforms like Polymarket, where the odds of an XRP ETF approval by 2025 have climbed to 88%.

Institutional interest is on the rise, with major players like Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, and Bitwise filing applications for spot XRP ETFs currently under SEC review. Franklin Templeton’s proposal, filed in March 2025, has attracted considerable attention despite the SEC delays, which are standard procedure.

In Canada, the Toronto Stock Exchange has introduced three spot XRP ETFs, proving that global demand for regulated XRP investment products is growing.

If U.S. regulators follow Canada’s lead and XRP ETFs gain traction similar to that of Bitcoin ETFs, XRP may experience one of the largest price surges in its history.