Ethereum (ETH) Forecast

Ethereum (ETH) has had a turbulent year, tumbling 24% since January 1 and currently sitting 48% below its peak price. However, prediction markets are filled with optimism. On Polymarket, 25% of traders are betting that ETH will reach $3,000 by the end of the month, while Kalshi’s wagers also show strong support for the crypto world’s second-largest player.

Ethereum’s Future Divides Prediction Markets—$1K Crash or $6K Rally?

With a market cap of $306 billion, Ether accounts for 9.3% of the crypto market’s total of $3.27 trillion. It’s not all positivity; compared to last month, it has dipped 0.5%, and it’s 36% down from six months ago, along with a 24% drop since the start of the year. Currently priced at $2,532 per ETH, it’s trading at roughly 0.02402 BTC. Nevertheless, a Polymarket bet with $4.58 million indicates a 25% probability that ETH could reach $3,000 by June 30.

About 12% of traders believe Ethereum might hit $3,200, while a significant 56% see $2,300 as a more realistic outcome. A separate prediction with $6.45 million in volume is speculating on ETH’s price by year’s end, suggesting a 38% chance for a $4,000 valuation. There’s also a 24% chance ETH could rise to $5,000 and a 16% chance it might soar to $6,000. Conversely, 16% predict that ETH might crash to $1,000 by December 31.

Kalshi Bet on ETH’s Price by December 31, 2025

On Kalshi’s platform, the current odds for Ethereum reaching $4,000 or more by 2025 stand at 35%, which is a 3-point increase. The possibility of hitting $4,500 has grown to 31%, reflecting a 7-point rise. However, the target of $5,000 appears less likely, with just 21% confidence for this year. So far, $321,301 has been wagered across these outcomes.

With multiple outcomes being wagered on, Ethereum’s path remains uncertain. The tension between bearish short-term performance and bullish long-term speculation illustrates a market filled with uncertainty—but also potential. Ultimately, whether ETH rebounds or declines, it’s evident that traders are bullish on significant future movements.