XRP in July 2025: A Breakout Moment

In the middle of July 2025, XRP gained the spotlight in the crypto markets. The SEC’s decision to approve an XRP futures ETF (ProShares Ultra, listed on NYSE Arca from July 18) acted as a lever for significant bull movements, while the legal case against Ripple seems headed for a favorable resolution. It is the cherry on top of a cake that includes increasing volumes, a solid technical trend, and expanding on-chain activity.

Positive Developments for XRP Price

In the days leading up to July 16, XRP fluctuated between 2.82 and 2.93 USD, closing around 2.89 USD. This behavior indicates a pattern of “higher lows,” signaling accumulation by sophisticated operators. The breakout above the 3 USD threshold, supported by over 170 million USD in trading volume, confirmed this shift, projecting the current price towards the 3.40–3.60 USD range.

Additionally, high trading volumes around key levels such as 2.84–2.85 USD indicate institutional commitment; “whale” wallets and treasury desks are increasing their exposure.

Technical Indicators Overview

• RSI daily around 70–73: indicates overbought conditions, but within a strong bull momentum context.
• MACD: positive and expanding with no immediate divergences, confirming trend strength.
• Bollinger Bands: price has crossed the upper band, indicating increasing volatility often leading to consolidation phases.
• Volume: sustained and above the weekly average, typically accompanied by spikes during breakouts.

Price Outlook for XRP

• Confirmed breakout: a daily close above 3.05–3.10 USD with high volumes leads towards 3.40–3.60 USD; thereafter, the 4.00–4.50 USD becomes the next target.
• Critical supports: initial support at 2.95 USD, with stronger support between 2.84–2.86 USD (EMA20). A breakdown below these levels might result in a pullback towards 2.70 USD.
• Emerging patterns: multiple technical formations suggest a price explosion possibility, with estimates indicating potential increases of 60% to 70% from current levels, targeting 4.47 to 5–7 USD.

Risks and Roadmap

1. RSI overbought → possible consolidation towards 3.00–2.85 USD.
2. High volatility → ETF futures and SEC lawsuit rumors could lead to rapid price swings.
3. Regulatory news: upcoming developments may influence prices, such as a potential case closure or approval for a spot ETF.

Strategic Summary

Conclusion

XRP is at a critical juncture; the legitimization of a futures ETF and a favorable resolution of the SEC lawsuit position the token within a more robust institutional framework.

Technically, the breakout above 3 USD, bolstered by substantial volumes, suggests a trajectory towards ambitious targets (3.60, 4.00, over 5 USD). Nonetheless, risks such as overbought RSI, regulatory news, and intraday volatility remain. A disciplined strategy of “breakout + confirmation + risk management” is essential during this phase.

Disclaimer:

• No financial advice (NFA): This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an invitation to purchase or invest.*

• DYOR (Do Your Own Research) — always conduct your own checks on indicators, market conditions, and risks before making decisions.